Murray Walker, the late, famous, British commentator once said that, "Anything can happen in Formula One--and usually does."
Anytime I think I have seen it all in F1, something new and dramatic happens, and the latest is the soap opera involving Oscar Piastri, Daniel Ricciardo, Alpine and McLaren. Both Alpine and McLaren believed they had Oscar Piastri under contract for 2023, and McLaren had already dumped Daniel Ricciardo, buying out his contract for 2023.
McLaren Formula 1 boss Zak Brown admitted, however, that Daniel Ricciardo made his teammate Lando Norris "step up." Well then, what exactly are McLaren doing?
My cousin and I often talk about how, in the "old" days--let's call them the 70s and 80s, to pick a time--teams often replaced drivers who were not as quick as their teammate, and that didn't seem to happen so much these days. Some teams keep drivers for many, many years, despite obvioulsy never showing they were ever going to outperform their teammate.
So, sure, Daniel hasn't been quite as quick as his teammate Lando Norris.
But, Ricciardo has the only McLaren win in last decade-- just 25 races ago at the Italian Grand Prix in 2022.
Ricciardo is one of only 39 drivers in the entire history of F1 that have won 8 or more races. That is 39 drivers out of 771, or 5%, or 1 out of 20. On average, our 20-driver grid would only have one driver who would ever win that many races in their career--you don't find a driver of this talent just anywhere.
In terms of podiums, only 33 drivers in history have as many as Daniel, at 32.
So we know Daniel is a great driver.
Now Oscar Piastri might be a great driver too. We don't know yet. But here are some other facts to consider.
Piastri won the 2021 Formula 2 championship, but since 2006 when Lewis won the GP2 championship, do you know how many GP2/F2 champions have won even a single race in F1?
Three.
That's it. Of 15 champs, only three have won a race in F1. Pastor Maldonado won one race, Pierre Gasly, the 2016 champion has won one race, and Charles Leclerc has won five. That's it.
If we extend this to any driver how has finished in the top three of the championship in GP2/F2, how many do we have?
Four.
Add Sergio Perez to the list, who finished second in the 2010 GP2 championship. That is four drivers out of 39 who have finished at least third.
There are no guarantees that an F2 champion has what it takes--the only proof is when they do in the F1 car. Daniel Ricciardo has done that. Oscar Piastri might, but might not.